BAYESIAN ANALYSIS WITH PYTHON

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Bayesian Analysis With Python

Author : Osvaldo Martin
ISBN : 9781789349665
Genre : Computers
File Size : 74.6 MB
Format : PDF, Mobi
Download : 644
Read : 900

Bayesian modeling with PyMC3 and exploratory analysis of Bayesian models with ArviZ Key Features A step-by-step guide to conduct Bayesian data analyses using PyMC3 and ArviZ A modern, practical and computational approach to Bayesian statistical modeling A tutorial for Bayesian analysis and best practices with the help of sample problems and practice exercises. Book Description The second edition of Bayesian Analysis with Python is an introduction to the main concepts of applied Bayesian inference and its practical implementation in Python using PyMC3, a state-of-the-art probabilistic programming library, and ArviZ, a new library for exploratory analysis of Bayesian models. The main concepts of Bayesian statistics are covered using a practical and computational approach. Synthetic and real data sets are used to introduce several types of models, such as generalized linear models for regression and classification, mixture models, hierarchical models, and Gaussian processes, among others. By the end of the book, you will have a working knowledge of probabilistic modeling and you will be able to design and implement Bayesian models for your own data science problems. After reading the book you will be better prepared to delve into more advanced material or specialized statistical modeling if you need to. What you will learn Build probabilistic models using the Python library PyMC3 Analyze probabilistic models with the help of ArviZ Acquire the skills required to sanity check models and modify them if necessary Understand the advantages and caveats of hierarchical models Find out how different models can be used to answer different data analysis questions Compare models and choose between alternative ones Discover how different models are unified from a probabilistic perspective Think probabilistically and benefit from the flexibility of the Bayesian framework Who this book is for If you are a student, data scientist, researcher, or a developer looking to get started with Bayesian data analysis and probabilistic programming, this book is for you. The book is introductory so no previous statistical knowledge is required, although some experience in using Python and NumPy is expected.
Category: Computers

Bayesian Analysis With Python

Author : Osvaldo Martin
ISBN : 9781785889851
Genre : Computers
File Size : 34.91 MB
Format : PDF, ePub
Download : 884
Read : 243

Unleash the power and flexibility of the Bayesian framework About This Book Simplify the Bayes process for solving complex statistical problems using Python; Tutorial guide that will take the you through the journey of Bayesian analysis with the help of sample problems and practice exercises; Learn how and when to use Bayesian analysis in your applications with this guide. Who This Book Is For Students, researchers and data scientists who wish to learn Bayesian data analysis with Python and implement probabilistic models in their day to day projects. Programming experience with Python is essential. No previous statistical knowledge is assumed. What You Will Learn Understand the essentials Bayesian concepts from a practical point of view Learn how to build probabilistic models using the Python library PyMC3 Acquire the skills to sanity-check your models and modify them if necessary Add structure to your models and get the advantages of hierarchical models Find out how different models can be used to answer different data analysis questions When in doubt, learn to choose between alternative models. Predict continuous target outcomes using regression analysis or assign classes using logistic and softmax regression. Learn how to think probabilistically and unleash the power and flexibility of the Bayesian framework In Detail The purpose of this book is to teach the main concepts of Bayesian data analysis. We will learn how to effectively use PyMC3, a Python library for probabilistic programming, to perform Bayesian parameter estimation, to check models and validate them. This book begins presenting the key concepts of the Bayesian framework and the main advantages of this approach from a practical point of view. Moving on, we will explore the power and flexibility of generalized linear models and how to adapt them to a wide array of problems, including regression and classification. We will also look into mixture models and clustering data, and we will finish with advanced topics like non-parametrics models and Gaussian processes. With the help of Python and PyMC3 you will learn to implement, check and expand Bayesian models to solve data analysis problems. Style and approach Bayes algorithms are widely used in statistics, machine learning, artificial intelligence, and data mining. This will be a practical guide allowing the readers to use Bayesian methods for statistical modelling and analysis using Python.
Category: Computers

Bayesian Analysis With Python Second Edition

Author : Osvaldo Martin
ISBN : OCLC:1103553295
Genre :
File Size : 57.85 MB
Format : PDF
Download : 278
Read : 568

Bayesian modeling with PyMC3 and exploratory analysis of Bayesian models with ArviZ Key Features A step-by-step guide to conduct Bayesian data analyses using PyMC3 and ArviZ A modern, practical and computational approach to Bayesian statistical modeling A tutorial for Bayesian analysis and best practices with the help of sample problems and practice exercises. Book Description The second edition of Bayesian Analysis with Python is an introduction to the main concepts of applied Bayesian inference and its practical implementation in Python using PyMC3, a state-of-the-art probabilistic programming library, and ArviZ, a new library for exploratory analysis of Bayesian models. The main concepts of Bayesian statistics are covered using a practical and computational approach. Synthetic and real data sets are used to introduce several types of models, such as generalized linear models for regression and classification, mixture models, hierarchical models, and Gaussian processes, among others. By the end of the book, you will have a working knowledge of probabilistic modeling and you will be able to design and implement Bayesian models for your own data science problems. After reading the book you will be better prepared to delve into more advanced material or specialized statistical modeling if you need to. What you will learn Build probabilistic models using the Python library PyMC3 Analyze probabilistic models with the help of ArviZ Acquire the skills required to sanity check models and modify them if necessary Understand the advantages and caveats of hierarchical models Find out how different models can be used to answer different data analysis questions Compare models and choose between alternative ones Discover how different models are unified from a probabilistic perspective Think probabilistically and benefit from the flexibility of the Bayesian framework Who this book is for If you are a student, data scientist, researcher, or a developer looking to get started with Bayesian data analysis and probabilistic programming, this book is for you. The book is introductory so no previous statistical knowledge is required, although some experience in using Python and NumPy is expected. Downloading the example code for this book You can download the example code files for all Packt books you have purchased from your account at http://www.PacktPub.com. If you purchased this book elsewhere, you can visit http://www.PacktPub.com/support and register to ha ...
Category:

Introduction To Bayesian Analysis In Python

Author : Sunil Gupta
ISBN : OCLC:1137153422
Genre :
File Size : 33.56 MB
Format : PDF
Download : 229
Read : 686

"Bayesian statistics is an effective tool for solving some inference problems when the available sample is too small for more complex statistical analysis to be applied. This course teaches the main concepts of Bayesian data analysis. It focuses on how to effectively use PyMC3, a Python library for probabilistic programming, to perform Bayesian parameter estimation, model checking, and validation. The course introduces the framework of Bayesian Analysis. Complex mathematical theory will be sidestepped in favor of a more pragmatic approach, featuring computational methods implemented in the Python library PyMC3. We present several instances of analysis scenarios."--Resource description page.
Category:

Bayesian Analysis With Python Second Edition

Author : Osvaldo Martin
ISBN : 1789341655
Genre : Computers
File Size : 77.77 MB
Format : PDF
Download : 896
Read : 765

Bayesian modeling with PyMC3 and exploratory analysis of Bayesian models with ArviZ Key Features A step-by-step guide to conduct Bayesian data analyses using PyMC3 and ArviZ A modern, practical and computational approach to Bayesian statistical modeling A tutorial for Bayesian analysis and best practices with the help of sample problems and practice exercises. Book Description The second edition of Bayesian Analysis with Python is an introduction to the main concepts of applied Bayesian inference and its practical implementation in Python using PyMC3, a state-of-the-art probabilistic programming library, and ArviZ, a new library for exploratory analysis of Bayesian models. The main concepts of Bayesian statistics are covered using a practical and computational approach. Synthetic and real data sets are used to introduce several types of models, such as generalized linear models for regression and classification, mixture models, hierarchical models, and Gaussian processes, among others. By the end of the book, you will have a working knowledge of probabilistic modeling and you will be able to design and implement Bayesian models for your own data science problems. After reading the book you will be better prepared to delve into more advanced material or specialized statistical modeling if you need to. What you will learn Build probabilistic models using the Python library PyMC3 Analyze probabilistic models with the help of ArviZ Acquire the skills required to sanity check models and modify them if necessary Understand the advantages and caveats of hierarchical models Find out how different models can be used to answer different data analysis questions Compare models and choose between alternative ones Discover how different models are unified from a probabilistic perspective Think probabilistically and benefit from the flexibility of the Bayesian framework Who this book is for If you are a student, data scientist, researcher, or a developer looking to get started with Bayesian data analysis and probabilistic programming, this book is for you. The book is introductory so no previous statistical knowledge is required, although some experience in using Python and NumPy is expected.
Category: Computers

Bayes Rule With Python

Author : James V. Stone
ISBN : 0993367933
Genre : Bayesian statistical decision theory
File Size : 87.79 MB
Format : PDF, Kindle
Download : 841
Read : 600

Discovered by an 18th century mathematician and preacher, Bayes' rule is a cornerstone of modern probability theory. In this richly illustrated book, a range of accessible examples is used to show how Bayes' rule is actually a natural consequence of common sense reasoning. Bayes' rule is then derived using intuitive graphical representations of probability, and Bayesian analysis is applied to parameter estimation. The tutorial style of writing, combined with a comprehensive glossary, makes this an ideal primer for novices who wish to become familiar with the basic principles of Bayesian analysis. Note that this book includes Python (3.0) code snippets, which reproduce key numerical results and diagrams.
Category: Bayesian statistical decision theory

Think Bayes

Author : Allen B. Downey
ISBN : 9781491945438
Genre : Mathematics
File Size : 28.98 MB
Format : PDF, Docs
Download : 773
Read : 1095

If you know how to program with Python and also know a little about probability, you’re ready to tackle Bayesian statistics. With this book, you'll learn how to solve statistical problems with Python code instead of mathematical notation, and use discrete probability distributions instead of continuous mathematics. Once you get the math out of the way, the Bayesian fundamentals will become clearer, and you’ll begin to apply these techniques to real-world problems. Bayesian statistical methods are becoming more common and more important, but not many resources are available to help beginners. Based on undergraduate classes taught by author Allen Downey, this book’s computational approach helps you get a solid start. Use your existing programming skills to learn and understand Bayesian statistics Work with problems involving estimation, prediction, decision analysis, evidence, and hypothesis testing Get started with simple examples, using coins, M&Ms, Dungeons & Dragons dice, paintball, and hockey Learn computational methods for solving real-world problems, such as interpreting SAT scores, simulating kidney tumors, and modeling the human microbiome.
Category: Mathematics

Bayesian Methods For Hackers

Author : Cameron Davidson-Pilon
ISBN : 9780133902921
Genre : Computers
File Size : 35.2 MB
Format : PDF, ePub
Download : 110
Read : 1173

Master Bayesian Inference through Practical Examples and Computation–Without Advanced Mathematical Analysis Bayesian methods of inference are deeply natural and extremely powerful. However, most discussions of Bayesian inference rely on intensely complex mathematical analyses and artificial examples, making it inaccessible to anyone without a strong mathematical background. Now, though, Cameron Davidson-Pilon introduces Bayesian inference from a computational perspective, bridging theory to practice–freeing you to get results using computing power. Bayesian Methods for Hackers illuminates Bayesian inference through probabilistic programming with the powerful PyMC language and the closely related Python tools NumPy, SciPy, and Matplotlib. Using this approach, you can reach effective solutions in small increments, without extensive mathematical intervention. Davidson-Pilon begins by introducing the concepts underlying Bayesian inference, comparing it with other techniques and guiding you through building and training your first Bayesian model. Next, he introduces PyMC through a series of detailed examples and intuitive explanations that have been refined after extensive user feedback. You’ll learn how to use the Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm, choose appropriate sample sizes and priors, work with loss functions, and apply Bayesian inference in domains ranging from finance to marketing. Once you’ve mastered these techniques, you’ll constantly turn to this guide for the working PyMC code you need to jumpstart future projects. Coverage includes • Learning the Bayesian “state of mind” and its practical implications • Understanding how computers perform Bayesian inference • Using the PyMC Python library to program Bayesian analyses • Building and debugging models with PyMC • Testing your model’s “goodness of fit” • Opening the “black box” of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm to see how and why it works • Leveraging the power of the “Law of Large Numbers” • Mastering key concepts, such as clustering, convergence, autocorrelation, and thinning • Using loss functions to measure an estimate’s weaknesses based on your goals and desired outcomes • Selecting appropriate priors and understanding how their influence changes with dataset size • Overcoming the “exploration versus exploitation” dilemma: deciding when “pretty good” is good enough • Using Bayesian inference to improve A/B testing • Solving data science problems when only small amounts of data are available Cameron Davidson-Pilon has worked in many areas of applied mathematics, from the evolutionary dynamics of genes and diseases to stochastic modeling of financial prices. His contributions to the open source community include lifelines, an implementation of survival analysis in Python. Educated at the University of Waterloo and at the Independent University of Moscow, he currently works with the online commerce leader Shopify.
Category: Computers

Bayes Rule

Author : James V. Stone
ISBN : 9780956372840
Genre : Bayesian statistical decision theory
File Size : 69.89 MB
Format : PDF
Download : 896
Read : 839

In this richly illustrated book, a range of accessible examples are used to show how Bayes' rule is actually a natural consequence of commonsense reasoning. The tutorial style of writing, combined with a comprehensive glossary, makes this an ideal primer for the novice who wishes to become familiar with the basic principles of Bayesian analysis.
Category: Bayesian statistical decision theory

Python End To End Data Analysis

Author : Phuong Vothihong
ISBN : 9781788396547
Genre : Computers
File Size : 58.44 MB
Format : PDF
Download : 250
Read : 431

Leverage the power of Python to clean, scrape, analyze, and visualize your data About This Book Clean, format, and explore your data using the popular Python libraries and get valuable insights from it Analyze big data sets; create attractive visualizations; manipulate and process various data types using NumPy, SciPy, and matplotlib; and more Packed with easy-to-follow examples to develop advanced computational skills for the analysis of complex data Who This Book Is For This course is for developers, analysts, and data scientists who want to learn data analysis from scratch. This course will provide you with a solid foundation from which to analyze data with varying complexity. A working knowledge of Python (and a strong interest in playing with your data) is recommended. What You Will Learn Understand the importance of data analysis and master its processing steps Get comfortable using Python and its associated data analysis libraries such as Pandas, NumPy, and SciPy Clean and transform your data and apply advanced statistical analysis to create attractive visualizations Analyze images and time series data Mine text and analyze social networks Perform web scraping and work with different databases, Hadoop, and Spark Use statistical models to discover patterns in data Detect similarities and differences in data with clustering Work with Jupyter Notebook to produce publication-ready figures to be included in reports In Detail Data analysis is the process of applying logical and analytical reasoning to study each component of data present in the system. Python is a multi-domain, high-level, programming language that offers a range of tools and libraries suitable for all purposes, it has slowly evolved as one of the primary languages for data science. Have you ever imagined becoming an expert at effectively approaching data analysis problems, solving them, and extracting all of the available information from your data? If yes, look no further, this is the course you need! In this course, we will get you started with Python data analysis by introducing the basics of data analysis and supported Python libraries such as matplotlib, NumPy, and pandas. Create visualizations by choosing color maps, different shapes, sizes, and palettes then delve into statistical data analysis using distribution algorithms and correlations. You'll then find your way around different data and numerical problems, get to grips with Spark and HDFS, and set up migration scripts for web mining. You'll be able to quickly and accurately perform hands-on sorting, reduction, and subsequent analysis, and fully appreciate how data analysis methods can support business decision-making. Finally, you will delve into advanced techniques such as performing regression, quantifying cause and effect using Bayesian methods, and discovering how to use Python's tools for supervised machine learning. The course provides you with highly practical content explaining data analysis with Python, from the following Packt books: Getting Started with Python Data Analysis. Python Data Analysis Cookbook. Mastering Python Data Analysis. By the end of this course, you will have all the knowledge you need to analyze your data with varying complexity levels, and turn it into actionable insights. Style and approach Learn Python data analysis using engaging examples and fun exercises, and with a gentle and friendly but comprehensive "learn-by-doing" approach. It offers you a useful way of analyzing the data that's specific to this course, but that can also be applied to any other data. This course is designed to be both a guide and a reference for moving beyond the basics of data analysis.
Category: Computers