THE NEXT 100 YEARS A FORECAST FOR THE 21ST CENTURY

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The Next 100 Years

Author : George Friedman
ISBN : 9780749008024
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 81.71 MB
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The New York Times Bestseller If you think you know where the world is headed, think again Mexico making a bid for global supremacy? Poland becoming America’s closest ally? World War III taking place in space? It might sound fantastic but all these things can happen. In The Next 100 Years, George Friedman, author of the huge bestseller America’s Secret War offers a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the 21st century. He predicts where and why future wars will erupt, and how they will be fought; which nations will gain and lose economic and political power; and how new technologies and cultural trends will alter the way we live in the new century.
Category: Business & Economics

Geofusion

Author : Norbert Csizmadia
ISBN : PKEY:6610000035670
Genre : Science
File Size : 83.38 MB
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We live in a unique “geo” ages, in the first decade of the 21st century, a geoeconomic era where geography is appreciated again. The 21st century encompasses political and economic games where the multi-polar world, a new world order and a new value system develop new actors and new industries, in a boundless world, where technology an innovation generates new boundaries. The location of the countries is key in taking over the new economic power centers, countries, cities and city-states. It is a knowledge & creativity era (technology + knowledge + geography = “technknowledgeography” or Geofusion) where education and innovation are the most important investment. The explorers of the 21st century rely on their inner compass in an age where information is the raw material of the future. Knowledge is the currency of this future involving individual ideas and creativity. This is a fusion of age, which is also the age of networks. The universe of geoeconomy is the main issue in how this “Geofusion” is special to our moment and opportunity, which can give lasting value to the world. Drawn with knowledge, the 21st century map of the new breed of compasses is utilized to discover and conform this new world! “This special geopolitical “guidebook” illustrated richly, with 100 maps, infographics and facts, gives an answer how to foresight the global processes on the basis of the latest geographic-economic and urban research results.
Category: Science

Great Powers And Strategic Stability In The 21st Century

Author : Graeme P. Herd
ISBN : 9781135233402
Genre : History
File Size : 84.65 MB
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This book addresses the issue of grand strategic stability in the 21st century, and examines the role of the key centres of global power - US, EU, Russia, China and India - in managing contemporary strategic threats. This edited volume examines the cooperative and conflictual capacity of Great Powers to manage increasingly interconnected strategic threats (not least, terrorism and political extremism, WMD proliferation, fragile states, regional crises and conflict and the energy-climate nexus) in the 21st century. The contributors question whether global order will increasingly be characterised by a predictable interdependent one-world system, as strategic threats create interest-based incentives and functional benefits. The work moves on to argue that the operational concept of world order is a Concert of Great Powers directing a new institutional order, norms and regimes whose combination is strategic-threat specific, regionally sensitive, loosely organised, and inclusive of major states (not least Brazil, Turkey, South Africa and Indonesia). Leadership can be singular, collective or coalition-based and this will characterise the nature of strategic stability and world order in the 21st century. This book will be of much interest to students of international security, grand strategy, foreign policy and IR. Graeme P. Herd is Co-Director of the International Training Course in Security Policy at the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (GCSP). He is co-author of several books and co-editor of The Ideological War on Terror: World Wide Strategies for Counter Terrorism (2007), Soft Security Threats and European Security (2005), Security Dynamics of the former Soviet Bloc (2003) and Russia and the Regions: Strength through Weakness (2003).
Category: History

The Ingenuity Gap

Author : Maren Leed
ISBN : 9780892065967
Genre : Political Science
File Size : 72.90 MB
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The officer management system comprises the laws, policies, procedures, and practices that guide how officers enter service and are subsequently developed, promoted, and separated. The purpose of this study is to examine whether that system aligns with the demands officers are likely to face in the years ahead. The basic question is whether we can continue to count on success.The fundamental nature of war remains unchanged, and there is much that the U.S. military confronts that is not unique in its history. Our country has seen, however, a definite shift in the challenges it faces on the battlefield. During the last two decades the U.S. military has engaged in a dizzying array of missions: from largely conventional battles in Operation Desert Storm, to humanitarian assistance missions in Haiti, to support civil authorities during Hurricane Katrina, to countering pirates off the coast of Africa. Today the U.S. military is engaged in complex, simultaneous operations in Iraq, Afghanistan, and the Horn of Africa; the missions are part counterterrorism, part counterinsurgency, and part stability and support activities.If the United States expects its military officers to continue to excel, the future demands new approaches. The uncertainty, asymmetry, and complexity of military operations are not new, but the degree to which each of these features will dominate the future strategic, operational, and tactical environments is. This reality is due to the fact that the underlying trends are accelerating at unprecedented rates and show no sign of slowing. Thus, the hard problems of the past are becoming ever harder, the possibility for surprise is increasing, and we face, as one commentator recently observed, “an avalanche of ceaseless change.” This study identifies two specific implications of the future operating environment for the demands on U.S. officers. First, the responsibilities of junior officers will continue to expand beyond the bounds of their traditional foundational skill sets. Second, officers at all ranks will increasingly confront wicked or ill-structured problems, confounded by incomplete information and with such a vast array of implications that traditional decisionmaking models will no longer apply. But beyond these particular concerns lies a more fundamental issue: the growing divergence between an increasingly dynamic future and an officer management system optimized for static conditions. It portends an instance of what futurist Thomas Homer-Dixon, writing about the challenges facing humanity such as meeting long-term energy needs, has termed the “ingenuity gap,” the growing gulf between the need for increasingly creative, new ideas and their likely supply.
Category: Political Science

21st Century Geography

Author : Joseph P. Stoltman
ISBN : 9781412974646
Genre : Science
File Size : 21.40 MB
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This is a theoretical and practical guide on how to undertake and navigate advanced research in the arts, humanities and social sciences.
Category: Science

Author : ألدوس هكسلي/مروة سامى/-
ISBN : 9789776539105
Genre : Fiction
File Size : 30.70 MB
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بناية رمادية منخفضة ، لا تزيد عن أربعة و ثلاثين طابقاً فقط كُتبت على مدخلها الرئيسى عبارة : ( مركز وسط لندن للتفريخ و التكييف ) ، و كُتب على درع شعار الدولة العالمية : (المجتمع ، و الهوية، و الاستقرار) تُواجه قاعة الطابق الأرضي الفسيحة جهة الشمال ، ممًا يجعلها باردة طوال الصيف ، وراء ألواح النوافذ الزجاجية ، على النقيض من جو الغرفة الاستوائي ، واخترق شعاع رفيع ثاقب النافذة يبحث بنهم عن جسد متدثر ملقى
Category: Fiction

Author : Rajiv Chandrasekaran
ISBN : 9789960547510
Genre : History
File Size : 56.79 MB
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رواية غير مسبوقة عن الحياة في منطقة بغداد الخضراء، المحاطة بالأسوار، ذات الأشجار الباسقة، والفيلات الفاخرة، وبرك السباحة الفوارة، التي شكلت مقراً للاحتلال الأمريكي في العراق. يأخذنا راجيف شاندراسيكاران، رئيس مكتب الواشنطن بوست السابق في بغداد، برفقته إلى داخل المنطقة، الفقاعة، المفصولة عن وقائع الحرب، حيث تتداخل مهمة إعادة إعمار البلد المدمر مع ما تتضمنه أمريكا المصغرة من مصادر للهو. يروي شاندراسيكاران، مستعيناً بالمئات من المقابلات والوثائق المهمة، قصة قاطني المنطقة الخضراء، وما سادها من أفكار، خلال مرحلة الاحتلال، بدءاً من الحاكم الإمبراطوري بول بريمر الثالث، وانتهاء بجموع من بلغوا العشرينيات من الموظفين الموكلين بمهمة تطبيق الفكرة المتمثلة في قدرة الأمريكيين على بناء ديموقراطية جيفرسونية في البلد الشرق أوسطي المنكوب. يجسد الكتاب قصة مدهشة عن أرض ساحرة، تبرز فيها حماقات حكومتنا إلى أبعد الحدود، وهذا الكتاب سيتم التداول بشأنه، بلا ريب، طيلة السنوات المقبلة. العبيكان للنشر
Category: History

A Short Drive Through The 21st Century The Future Of Energy Trade And Demographics

Author : Noel Brodsky
ISBN : 9781847285508
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 61.2 MB
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This book is a brief overview of the next century using Economic analysis. It covers three main areas: Energy (with emphasis on oil), the international sector, and demographic change for both the USA and the world. There are some surprising results. Oil appears to have a long term stable mean of about $25 a barrel. International trade may be peaking, with a decline of trade into blocs. Africa may emerge as a rapidly developing continent by mid century. These areas are explained, and mixed together to give a complete picture of how this century may develop.
Category: Business & Economics