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The Signal And The Noise

Author : Nate Silver
ISBN : 9781101595954
Genre : Political Science
File Size : 67.92 MB
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One of Wall Street Journal's Best Ten Works of Nonfiction in 2012 New York Times Bestseller “Not so different in spirit from the way public intellectuals like John Kenneth Galbraith once shaped discussions of economic policy and public figures like Walter Cronkite helped sway opinion on the Vietnam War…could turn out to be one of the more momentous books of the decade.” —New York Times Book Review "Nate Silver's The Signal and the Noise is The Soul of a New Machine for the 21st century." —Rachel Maddow, author of Drift "A serious treatise about the craft of prediction—without academic mathematics—cheerily aimed at lay readers. Silver's coverage is polymathic, ranging from poker and earthquakes to climate change and terrorism." —New York Review of Books Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger—all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.com. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the “prediction paradox”: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good—or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary—and dangerous—science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver’s insights are an essential read. From the Trade Paperback edition.
Category: Political Science

Signal To Noise

Author : Silvia Moreno-Garcia
ISBN : 9781849978903
Genre : Fiction
File Size : 66.87 MB
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Magic will break your heart. Mexico City, 1988: Meche is fifteen, awkward, and obsessed with music. Her world revolves around her two misfit friends, Sebastian and Daniela, and a stack of records. Then Meche discovers how to turn music into magic, and things takes a turn for the strange... Mexico City, 2009: Meche returns home for her estranged father’s funeral. Her family are trouble enough, but when she runs into Sebastian, long-buried childhood memories resurface. What really happened back then – and is there any magic left?
Category: Fiction

Signal To Noise

Author : Eric S. Nylund
ISBN : 0380792923
Genre : Fiction
File Size : 54.98 MB
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Jack Potter puts computer cryptography to work for the highest bidder: sometimes for private corporations, sometimes for the government. Sometimes the work is legal; if not, Jack simply raises his price. But one day, Jack discovers something cloaked in the hiss of background radiation streaming past the Earth from deep space: a message from an alien civilization. One that's eager to do business with humanity -- and its representative. Before he knows it, Jack has entered into a partnership that will open a Pandora's Box of potential profit and loss. The governments, the multinationals, and mysterious players more powerful still, all want a piece of the action -- and they're willing to kill, even wage war, to get it. Now Jack is entangled shifting web of deceit and intrigue in which no one, not even his closest friends, can be trusted. For Earth's cloak-and-dagger business practices are writ large in the heavens...and hostile takeovers are just as common across light years as they are across boardroom tables.
Category: Fiction

Signal To Noise

Author : Neil Gaiman
ISBN : 9781630089658
Genre : Comics & Graphic Novels
File Size : 58.48 MB
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A film director is dying of cancer. His greatest film would have told the story of a European village as the last hour of 999 AD approached—bringing Armageddon. Now that story will never be told. But he’s still working it out in his head, making a film that no one will ever see.
Category: Comics & Graphic Novels

Novel Trends In Brain Science

Author : Minoru Onozuka
ISBN : 9784431732426
Genre : Medical
File Size : 36.22 MB
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With the development of neural science, knowledge of the molecules and neurons that comprise the brain has increased exponentially in the past two decades. In this book, leading neuroscientists from Japan and Taiwan describe the latest and most relevant research in brain science, including state-of-the-art brain-imaging technologies. They also discuss learning, memory, emotions, and pain. An entirely new and unique field of study is introduced in the learning and memory section.
Category: Medical

Biomedical Signal Processing

Author : Metin Akay
ISBN : 9780323140140
Genre : Medical
File Size : 38.54 MB
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Sophisticated techniques for signal processing are now available to the biomedical specialist! Written in an easy-to-read, straightforward style, Biomedical Signal Processing presents techniques to eliminate background noise, enhance signal detection, and analyze computer data, making results easy to comprehend and apply. In addition to examining techniques for electrical signal analysis, filtering, and transforms, the author supplies an extensive appendix with several computer programs that demonstrate techniques presented in the text.
Category: Medical

Terahertz Sensing Technology Emerging Scientific Applications Novel Device Concepts

Author : Dwight L. Woolard
ISBN : 9789812386113
Genre : Technology & Engineering
File Size : 59.67 MB
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The last research frontier in high frequency electronics lies in the so-called terahertz (or submillimeter wave) regime, between the traditional microwave and the infrared domains. Significant scientific and technical challenges within the terahertz (THz) frequency regime have recently motivated an array of new research activities. During the last few years, major research programs have emerged that are focused on advancing the state of the art in THz frequency electronic technology and on investigating novel applications of THz frequency sensing. This book provides a detailed review of the new THz frequency technological developments that are emerging across a wide spectrum of sensing and technology areas.Volume II presents cutting edge results in two primary areas: (1) research that is attempting to establish THz-frequency sensing as a new characterization tool for chemical, biological and semiconductor materials, and (2) theoretical and experimental efforts to define new device concepts within the ?THz gap?.
Category: Technology & Engineering

Terahertz Sensing Technology

Author : Dwight L Woolard
ISBN : 9789814483995
Genre : Technology & Engineering
File Size : 68.35 MB
Format : PDF
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The last research frontier in high frequency electronics lies in the so-called terahertz (or submillimeter wave) regime, between the traditional microwave and the infrared domains. Significant scientific and technical challenges within the terahertz (THz) frequency regime have recently motivated an array of new research activities. During the last few years, major research programs have emerged that are focused on advancing the state of the art in THz frequency electronic technology and on investigating novel applications of THz frequency sensing. This book provides a detailed review of the new THz frequency technological developments that are emerging across a wide spectrum of sensing and technology areas. Volume II presents cutting edge results in two primary areas: (1) research that is attempting to establish THz-frequency sensing as a new characterization tool for chemical, biological and semiconductor materials, and (2) theoretical and experimental efforts to define new device concepts within the “THz gap”. Contents: THz-Frequency Spectroscopic Sensing of DNA and Related Biological Materials (T Globus et al.)Spectroscopy with Electronic Terahertz Techniques for Chemical and Biological Sensing (M K Choi et al.)Terahertz Applications to Biomolecular Sensing (A G Markelz & S E Whitmire)Characteristics of Nano-Scale Composites at THz and IR Spectral Regions (J F Federici & H Grebel)Fundamentals of Terrestrial Millimeter-Wave and THz Remote Sensing (E R Brown)Terahertz Emission Using Quantum Dots and Microcavities (G S Solomon et al.)Terahertz Transport in Semiconductor Quantum Structures (S J Allen & J S Scott)Advanced Theory of Instability in Tunneling Nanostructures (D L Woolard et al.)Wigner Function Simulations of Quantum Device–Circuits Interactions (H L Grubin & R C Buggeln)Continuous-Wave Terahertz Spectroscopy of Plasmas and Biomolecules (D F Plusquellic et al.) Readership: Undergraduates, graduate students, academics and researchers in engineering and science. Keywords:Terahertz Spectroscopy;Analysis of DNA and RNA;Chemical and Biological Sensing;Biomolecular Signatures;Nanoscale Composites;Terahertz-Frequency Imaging;Terahertz Characterization;Quantum Dot Lasers;Semiconductor Quantum Structures;Tunneling Nanostructures;Intrinsic Oscillations;Wigner Function Simulations;Continuous-Wave Terahertz Spectroscopy;Plasma Diagnostics
Category: Technology & Engineering

Introduction To Random Signals And Noise

Author : Wim C. Van Etten
ISBN : 9780470024126
Genre : Science
File Size : 79.8 MB
Format : PDF, ePub
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Random signals and noise are present in many engineering systems and networks. Signal processing techniques allow engineers to distinguish between useful signals in audio, video or communication equipment, and interference, which disturbs the desired signal. With a strong mathematical grounding, this text provides a clear introduction to the fundamentals of stochastic processes and their practical applications to random signals and noise. With worked examples, problems, and detailed appendices, Introduction to Random Signals and Noise gives the reader the knowledge to design optimum systems for effectively coping with unwanted signals. Key features: Considers a wide range of signals and noise, including analogue, discrete-time and bandpass signals in both time and frequency domains. Analyses the basics of digital signal detection using matched filtering, signal space representation and correlation receiver. Examines optimal filtering methods and their consequences. Presents a detailed discussion of the topic of Poisson processes and shot noise. An excellent resource for professional engineers developing communication systems, semiconductor devices, and audio and video equipment, this book is also ideal for senior undergraduate and graduate students in Electronic and Electrical Engineering.
Category: Science