MINDWARE

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Mindware

Author : Richard E. Nisbett
ISBN : 9780374710675
Genre : Psychology
File Size : 54.3 MB
Format : PDF, ePub
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"The most influential thinker, in my life, has been the psychologist Richard Nisbett. He basically gave me my view of the world." -Malcolm Gladwell, New York Times Book Review Scientific and philosophical concepts can change the way we solve problems by helping us to think more effectively about our behavior and our world. Surprisingly, despite their utility, many of these tools remain unknown to most of us. In Mindware, the world-renowned psychologist Richard E. Nisbett presents these ideas in clear and accessible detail. Nisbett has made a distinguished career of studying and teaching such powerful problem-solving concepts as the law of large numbers, statistical regression, cost-benefit analysis, sunk costs and opportunity costs, and causation and correlation, probing the best methods for teaching others how to use them effectively in their daily lives. In this groundbreaking book, Nisbett shows us how to frame common problems in such a way that these scientific and statistical principles can be applied to them. The result is an enlightening and practical guide to the most essential tools of reasoning ever developed-tools that can easily be used to make better professional, business, and personal decisions.
Category: Psychology

Mindware

Author : Andy Clark
ISBN : 0199828156
Genre : Science
File Size : 74.52 MB
Format : PDF, ePub
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Ranging across both standard philosophical territory and the landscape of cutting-edge cognitive science, Mindware: An Introduction to the Philosophy of Cognitive Science, Second Edition, is a vivid and engaging introduction to key issues, research, and opportunities in the field.
Category: Science

Book O Beards

Author : Donald B. Lemke
ISBN : 9781623701833
Genre : Juvenile Fiction
File Size : 26.49 MB
Format : PDF
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A wearable board book with die-cut holes, which invite the reader to try out the six bearded masks.
Category: Juvenile Fiction

Superforecasting

Author : Philip E. Tetlock
ISBN : 9780804136709
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 21.35 MB
Format : PDF, ePub, Docs
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A New York Times Bestseller An Economist Best Book of 2015 "The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow." —Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic. From the Hardcover edition.
Category: Business & Economics

Animal Lights

Author : Mindware Holdings, Inc.
ISBN : 1933054506
Genre : Juvenile Nonfiction
File Size : 61.19 MB
Format : PDF, Kindle
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Category: Juvenile Nonfiction

Creature Camouflage

Author : Paul Mason
ISBN : 1410929604
Genre : Juvenile Nonfiction
File Size : 71.30 MB
Format : PDF
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Explains what camouflage is and describes the different ways that animals camouflage themselves.
Category: Juvenile Nonfiction

Optidesigns

Author : Mindware Holdings, Inc.
ISBN : 1892069032
Genre : Juvenile Nonfiction
File Size : 51.33 MB
Format : PDF
Download : 751
Read : 476

Category: Juvenile Nonfiction